Vegas Golden Knights at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2026-01-04 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 53.4%
VGK: 46.6%
Expected Goals
CHI: 2.68
VGK: 3.15
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
| Stat | CHI | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.864 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.893 | 0.850 |
| GAA | 2.63 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • CHI at home vs VGK: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | CHI 3 - 2 VGK | CHI | CHI |
| 2025-12-02 | VGK 4 - 3 CHI | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-03-28 | CHI 3 - 5 VGK | VGK | CHI |
| 2025-02-27 | VGK 7 - 5 CHI | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-01-18 | CHI 5 - 3 VGK | CHI | CHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:40 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 12:38 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 00:43 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 11:36 | CHI | Goal |
| 4 | 01:18 | CHI | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 2.7 - 3.2