Nashville Predators at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2026-01-06 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 2 Nashville Predators

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

EDM: 60.0%

NSH: 40.0%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.55

NSH: 2.65

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

EDM

Connor Ingram - 2-2-0 | 0.883 SV% | 3.28 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Stat	EDM	NSH
Season SV%	0.883	0.897
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.28	2.93

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Connor Ingram	26	24	2	92.3%	2.32	0	0.32
NSH	Juuse Saros	43	37	6	86.0%	5.81	8	-0.19

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • EDM at home vs NSH: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-15	EDM 3 - 1 NSH	EDM	EDM
2026-01-13	NSH 4 - 3 EDM	NSH	NSH
2026-01-06	EDM 6 - 2 NSH	EDM	EDM
2024-11-14	EDM 3 - 2 NSH	EDM	EDM
2024-10-31	NSH 1 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	15	0	0.96
1	NSH	15	0	0.90
2	EDM	23	5	2.66
2	NSH	7	0	0.25
3	EDM	20	3	2.18
3	NSH	19	0	1.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown