Florida Panthers at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2026-01-08 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 6 - 2 Florida Panthers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 58.2%
FLA: 41.8%
Expected Goals
MTL: 3.38
FLA: 3.19
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
| Stat | MTL | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.903 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.737 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • MTL at home vs FLA: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | MTL 6 - 2 FLA | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-12-30 | FLA 2 - 3 MTL | MTL | FLA |
| 2025-04-01 | MTL 3 - 2 FLA | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-03-30 | FLA 2 - 4 MTL | MTL | FLA |
| 2025-03-15 | MTL 3 - 1 FLA | MTL | MTL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:59 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 17:35 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 05:33 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 13:41 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 07:26 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 11:23 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 17:59 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:10 | MTL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 6 - 2 Florida Panthers
Expected: 3.4 - 3.2