NYR vs BUF - 2026-01-08
2026-01-08 • Madison Square Garden
NYR 2 - 5 BUF
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 51.2%
BUF: 48.8%
Expected Goals
NYR: 2.59
BUF: 3.07
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 34%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:07 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 06:58 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 09:34 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 12:34 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 00:51 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 14:38 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 18:30 | BUF | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
NYR 2 - 5 BUF
Expected: 2.6 - 3.1