New Jersey Devils at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2026-01-08 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

PIT: 56.4%

NJD: 43.6%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.29

NJD: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • PIT at home vs NJD: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	NJD 2 - 5 PIT	PIT	NJD
2026-02-26	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2026-01-08	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2025-11-08	NJD 2 - 1 PIT	NJD	NJD
2025-04-11	NJD 2 - 4 PIT	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	10	0	0.50
1	NJD	15	0	0.93
2	PIT	24	0	1.60
2	NJD	8	0	0.56
3	PIT	13	1	1.16
3	NJD	18	1	1.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9