New Jersey Devils at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2026-01-08 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 1 New Jersey Devils

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

PIT: 66.0%

NJD: 34.0%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.45

NJD: 2.74

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

PIT

Stuart Skinner - 12-11-4 | 0.888 SV% | 2.91 GAA

NJD

Jake Allen - 11-8-1 | 0.912 SV% | 2.52 GAA

Stat	PIT	NJD
Season SV%	0.888	0.912
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.91	2.52

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PIT	Stuart Skinner	29	28	1	96.6%	2.61	1	1.61
NJD	Jake Allen	29	25	4	86.2%	3.26	1	-0.74

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • PIT at home vs NJD: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	NJD 2 - 5 PIT	PIT	PIT
2026-02-26	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2026-01-08	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2025-11-08	NJD 2 - 1 PIT	NJD	NJD
2025-04-11	NJD 2 - 4 PIT	PIT	PIT

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	10	0	0.50
1	NJD	15	0	0.93
2	PIT	24	0	1.60
2	NJD	8	0	0.56
3	PIT	13	1	1.16
3	NJD	18	1	1.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown