Washington Capitals at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2026-01-09 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 5 Washington Capitals
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 54.2%
WSH: 45.8%
Expected Goals
CHI: 2.88
WSH: 3.35
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
| Stat | CHI | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.864 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.941 | 0.947 |
| GAA | 2.63 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CHI at home vs WSH: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-09 | CHI 1 - 5 WSH | WSH | CHI |
| 2026-01-03 | WSH 2 - 3 CHI | CHI | WSH |
| 2025-04-04 | WSH 5 - 3 CHI | WSH | WSH |
| 2024-12-17 | CHI 3 - 2 WSH | CHI | CHI |
| 2024-03-09 | WSH 4 - 1 CHI | WSH | WSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:54 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 15:07 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 04:03 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 12:38 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 08:48 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 13:33 | WSH | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 5 Washington Capitals
Expected: 2.9 - 3.4