Dallas Stars at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2026-01-10 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 5 - 4 Dallas Stars (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 49.9%

DAL: 50.1%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.20

DAL: 3.50

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • SJS at home vs DAL: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-10	SJS 5 - 4 DAL	SJS	DAL
2025-12-18	SJS 3 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-12-05	DAL 4 - 1 SJS	DAL	DAL
2025-02-08	SJS 3 - 8 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-11-20	DAL 5 - 2 SJS	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	16	0	0.92
1	DAL	13	2	1.44
2	SJS	12	1	1.37
2	DAL	9	0	0.58
3	SJS	13	0	0.87
3	DAL	9	0	0.64
4	SJS	4	0	0.39
4	DAL	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 5 - 4 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.2 - 3.5