Vancouver Canucks at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2026-01-10 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 5 - 0 Vancouver Canucks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 61.4%
VAN: 38.6%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.00
VAN: 2.94
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
| Stat | TOR | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.914 | 0.885 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.910 | 0.793 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.966 | 0.889 |
| GAA | 2.74 | 3.41 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • TOR at home vs VAN: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | VAN 2 - 3 TOR | TOR | VAN |
| 2026-01-10 | TOR 5 - 0 VAN | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-02-08 | VAN 2 - 1 TOR | VAN | VAN |
| 2025-01-11 | TOR 0 - 3 VAN | VAN | TOR |
| 2024-01-20 | VAN 6 - 4 TOR | VAN | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:40 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 16:31 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 08:03 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 13:07 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 19:46 | TOR | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 5 - 0 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 3.0 - 2.9