Seattle Kraken at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2026-01-10 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Seattle Kraken

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CAR: 79.2%

SEA: 20.8%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.33

SEA: 2.07

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CAR

Brandon Bussi - 13-2-1 | 0.901 SV% | 2.33 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Stat	CAR	SEA
Season SV%	0.901	0.903
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.33	2.77

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Brandon Bussi	12	10	2	83.3%	1.85	0	-0.15
SEA	Joey Daccord	34	31	3	91.2%	3.42	4	0.42

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CAR at home vs SEA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-02	SEA 2 - 1 CAR	SEA	CAR
2026-01-10	CAR 3 - 2 SEA	CAR	CAR
2024-12-03	CAR 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	CAR
2024-10-26	SEA 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2023-10-26	CAR 3 - 2 SEA	CAR	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	20	2	1.25
1	SEA	12	0	0.62
2	CAR	16	1	1.20
2	SEA	9	0	0.61
3	CAR	18	1	0.97
3	SEA	8	0	0.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 79.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown