New York Islanders at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2026-01-10 • Grand Casino Arena
Minnesota Wild 3 - 4 New York Islanders (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 60.4%
NYI: 39.6%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.36
NYI: 2.81
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | MIN | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.895 | 0.930 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.852 | 0.917 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MIN at home vs NYI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | MIN 3 - 4 NYI | NYI | MIN |
| 2025-11-07 | NYI 2 - 5 MIN | MIN | NYI |
| 2025-04-04 | NYI 3 - 1 MIN | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-02-08 | MIN 6 - 3 NYI | MIN | MIN |
| 2024-01-15 | MIN 5 - 0 NYI | MIN | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:51 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 04:18 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 15:25 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 01:29 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 08:26 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 19:34 | MIN | Goal |
| 4 | 01:34 | NYI | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 3 - 4 New York Islanders
Expected: 3.4 - 2.8