Washington Capitals at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2026-01-11 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 3 - 2 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

NSH: 51.7%

WSH: 48.3%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.04

WSH: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NSH at home vs WSH: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	WSH 4 - 2 NSH	WSH	WSH
2026-01-11	NSH 3 - 2 WSH	NSH	NSH
2025-01-11	NSH 1 - 4 WSH	WSH	NSH
2024-11-06	WSH 3 - 2 NSH	WSH	WSH
2023-12-30	WSH 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	12	0	0.57
1	WSH	15	1	0.85
2	NSH	12	0	0.58
2	WSH	15	0	0.63
3	NSH	14	0	1.03
3	WSH	20	0	1.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 3 - 2 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.0 - 2.9