Columbus Blue Jackets at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2026-01-11 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (68% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

UTA: 68.2%

CBJ: 31.8%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.45

CBJ: 2.62

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

UTA

Vitek Vanecek - 2-9-1 | 0.879 SV% | 2.92 GAA

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

Stat	UTA	CBJ
Season SV%	0.879	0.909
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.92	2.62

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Vitek Vanecek	36	33	3	91.7%	4.08	1	1.08
CBJ	Jet Greaves	27	25	2	92.6%	2.19	1	0.19

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • UTA at home vs CBJ: 0-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	CBJ 4 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA
2026-01-11	UTA 2 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	UTA
2025-02-06	CBJ 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-01-31	UTA 2 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	UTA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	12	0	0.93
1	CBJ	19	0	1.23
2	UTA	13	1	0.55
2	CBJ	17	1	1.82
3	UTA	16	0	0.71
3	CBJ	13	0	0.70
4	UTA	0	0	0.00
4	CBJ	4	0	0.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 68.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 2 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.5 - 2.6