Carolina Hurricanes at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2026-01-12 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (59% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 40.7%

CAR: 59.3%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.31

CAR: 3.54

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • DET at home vs CAR: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	CAR 5 - 2 DET	CAR	CAR
2026-01-12	DET 4 - 3 CAR	DET	CAR
2025-12-27	CAR 5 - 2 DET	CAR	CAR
2025-04-04	DET 5 - 3 CAR	DET	CAR
2025-03-14	CAR 4 - 2 DET	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	9	2	1.06
1	CAR	21	0	1.27
2	DET	8	0	0.57
2	CAR	11	0	0.53
3	DET	9	0	0.51
3	CAR	20	1	1.81
4	DET	2	1	0.48
4	CAR	3	0	0.22

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.3 - 3.5