Vancouver Canucks at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2026-01-12 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 6 - 3 Vancouver Canucks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 59.2%
VAN: 40.8%
Expected Goals
MTL: 3.15
VAN: 3.40
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
| Stat | MTL | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.885 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.903 | 0.793 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.889 | 0.833 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 3.41 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MTL at home vs VAN: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | MTL 6 - 3 VAN | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-10-25 | VAN 3 - 4 MTL | MTL | VAN |
| 2025-03-11 | VAN 2 - 4 MTL | MTL | VAN |
| 2025-01-06 | MTL 5 - 4 VAN | MTL | MTL |
| 2024-03-21 | VAN 4 - 1 MTL | VAN | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:13 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 11:53 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 09:42 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 04:51 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 04:31 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 01:50 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 06:05 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 01:07 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 00:29 | MTL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 6 - 3 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 3.2 - 3.4