Montreal Canadiens at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2026-01-13 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 3 - 2 Montreal Canadiens (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 54.0%
MTL: 46.0%
Expected Goals
WSH: 3.18
MTL: 3.50
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 51%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
| Stat | WSH | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.903 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.920 | 0.840 |
| GAA | 2.39 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 54% • WSH at home vs MTL: 5-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 | WSH 3 - 2 MTL | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-11-20 | MTL 4 - 8 WSH | WSH | MTL |
| 2025-04-30 | WSH 4 - 1 MTL | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-04-27 | MTL 2 - 5 WSH | WSH | MTL |
| 2025-04-25 | MTL 6 - 3 WSH | MTL | MTL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:14 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 07:40 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:06 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 05:06 | MTL | Goal |
| 4 | 04:21 | WSH | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 3 - 2 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 3.2 - 3.5