Edmonton Oilers at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2026-01-13 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 4 - 3 Edmonton Oilers (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NSH: 55.5%

EDM: 44.5%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.35

EDM: 3.41

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

EDM

Tristan Jarry - 12-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.73 GAA

Stat	NSH	EDM
Season SV%	0.897	0.906
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.93	2.73

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	31	28	3	90.3%	3.11	2	0.11
EDM	Tristan Jarry	27	23	4	85.2%	2.76	2	-1.24

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • NSH at home vs EDM: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-15	EDM 3 - 1 NSH	EDM	EDM
2026-01-13	NSH 4 - 3 EDM	NSH	NSH
2026-01-06	EDM 6 - 2 NSH	EDM	EDM
2024-11-14	EDM 3 - 2 NSH	EDM	EDM
2024-10-31	NSH 1 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	13	1	1.15
1	EDM	19	1	1.54
2	NSH	11	1	0.68
2	EDM	8	1	1.01
3	NSH	14	0	0.65
3	EDM	15	0	0.48
4	NSH	3	0	0.28
4	EDM	1	0	0.08

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 4 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.4