Ottawa Senators at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2026-01-14 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 8 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

NYR: 37.1%

OTT: 62.9%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.85

OTT: 4.36

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NYR at home vs OTT: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-23	NYR 1 - 2 OTT	OTT	OTT
2026-01-14	NYR 4 - 8 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-12-04	OTT 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	OTT
2025-03-08	OTT 4 - 3 NYR	OTT	OTT
2025-01-21	NYR 5 - 0 OTT	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	9	0	0.13
1	OTT	17	1	1.80
2	NYR	11	0	0.53
2	OTT	9	0	0.35
3	NYR	11	1	1.11
3	OTT	16	1	1.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 12.0

Expected: 7.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 8 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 2.8 - 4.4