Vegas Golden Knights at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2026-01-14 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 2 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 56.0%
VGK: 44.0%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.02
VGK: 3.20
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 14-11-9 | 0.900 SV% | 2.59 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
| Stat | LAK | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.866 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.889 | 0.917 |
| GAA | 2.27 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • LAK at home vs VGK: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | LAK 4 - 6 VGK | VGK | LAK |
| 2026-02-05 | VGK 4 - 1 LAK | VGK | VGK |
| 2026-01-14 | LAK 2 - 3 VGK | VGK | LAK |
| 2025-10-08 | VGK 5 - 6 LAK | LAK | VGK |
| 2025-03-09 | VGK 5 - 6 LAK | LAK | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 03:56 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 06:24 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 12:07 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 18:33 | LAK | Goal |
| 4 | 00:25 | VGK | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 2 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.0 - 3.2