Vancouver Canucks at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2026-01-15 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 4 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CBJ: 55.9%

VAN: 44.1%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.30

VAN: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 51%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

Stat	CBJ	VAN
Season SV%	0.877	0.885
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	4.04	3.41

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	31	30	1	96.8%	2.89	2	1.89
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	36	32	4	88.9%	4.08	3	0.08

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • CBJ at home vs VAN: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	CBJ 4 - 1 VAN	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-08	VAN 4 - 3 CBJ	VAN	VAN
2025-03-28	CBJ 7 - 6 VAN	CBJ	VAN
2024-12-06	VAN 5 - 2 CBJ	VAN	VAN
2024-01-27	VAN 5 - 4 CBJ	VAN	VAN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	27	2	2.28
1	VAN	15	1	1.08
2	CBJ	18	0	0.98
2	VAN	15	1	0.92
3	CBJ	14	1	0.82
3	VAN	12	0	0.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown