Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2026-01-15 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 3 Calgary Flames
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 56.9%
CGY: 43.1%
Expected Goals
CHI: 2.97
CGY: 2.75
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
| Stat | CHI | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.864 | 0.877 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.964 | 0.837 |
| GAA | 2.63 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CHI at home vs CGY: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | CHI 1 - 3 CGY | CGY | CHI |
| 2025-11-18 | CHI 5 - 2 CGY | CHI | CHI |
| 2025-11-07 | CGY 0 - 4 CHI | CHI | CGY |
| 2025-01-13 | CHI 2 - 5 CGY | CGY | CHI |
| 2024-12-21 | CGY 6 - 4 CHI | CGY | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:38 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 03:14 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 06:05 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 18:59 | CGY | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 3 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.0 - 2.8