Calgary Flames at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2026-01-15 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 3 Calgary Flames

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CHI: 43.3%

CGY: 56.7%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.09

CGY: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

CGY

Devin Cooley - 4-4-2 | 0.914 SV% | 2.40 GAA

Stat	CHI	CGY
Season SV%	0.909	0.914
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.63	2.40

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Spencer Knight	23	20	3	87.0%	3.29	3	0.29
CGY	Devin Cooley	23	22	1	95.7%	1.86	0	0.86

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CHI at home vs CGY: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	CHI 1 - 3 CGY	CGY	CGY
2025-11-18	CHI 5 - 2 CGY	CHI	CGY
2025-11-07	CGY 0 - 4 CHI	CHI	CGY
2025-01-13	CHI 2 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2024-12-21	CGY 6 - 4 CHI	CGY	CGY

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	10	0	0.44
1	CGY	9	1	1.14
2	CHI	16	0	1.12
2	CGY	14	1	1.00
3	CHI	9	0	0.30
3	CGY	9	1	1.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown