Columbus Blue Jackets at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2026-01-17 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets (SO)
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 58.6%
CBJ: 41.4%
Expected Goals
PIT: 2.83
CBJ: 2.78
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 34%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 18-12-6 | 0.910 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | PIT | CBJ |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.928 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.818 | 0.866 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.62 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • PIT at home vs CBJ: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | PIT 3 - 4 CBJ | CBJ | PIT |
| 2026-01-04 | CBJ 4 - 5 PIT | PIT | CBJ |
| 2025-11-28 | CBJ 3 - 4 PIT | PIT | CBJ |
| 2025-10-25 | PIT 4 - 5 CBJ | CBJ | PIT |
| 2025-03-21 | PIT 6 - 3 CBJ | PIT | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:42 | CBJ | Goal |
| 1 | 09:59 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 17:52 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 07:32 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 17:38 | CBJ | Goal |
| 3 | 18:59 | PIT | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | PIT | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | PIT | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | PIT | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets
Expected: 2.8 - 2.8