Boston Bruins at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2026-01-17 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 5 Boston Bruins

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CHI: 46.2%

BOS: 53.8%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.35

BOS: 3.38

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 39%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

BOS

Joonas Korpisalo - 6-8-0 | 0.882 SV% | 3.60 GAA

Stat	CHI	BOS
Season SV%	0.873	0.882
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	4.02	3.60

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	23	18	5	78.3%	2.87	2	-2.13
BOS	Joonas Korpisalo	24	22	2	91.7%	1.93	1	-0.07

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CHI at home vs BOS: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	CHI 2 - 5 BOS	BOS	BOS
2025-10-09	BOS 4 - 3 CHI	BOS	BOS
2025-04-10	BOS 2 - 5 CHI	CHI	BOS
2024-12-04	CHI 2 - 4 BOS	BOS	CHI
2023-10-24	CHI 0 - 3 BOS	BOS	CHI

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	11	0	0.56
1	BOS	14	1	1.11
2	CHI	14	0	0.37
2	BOS	13	0	0.91
3	CHI	18	1	1.00
3	BOS	10	1	0.84

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown