Nashville Predators at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2026-01-17 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 7 - 2 Nashville Predators
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 62.2%
NSH: 37.8%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.28
NSH: 2.93
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
NSH
Juuse Saros - 21-17-5 | 0.892 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | VGK | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.875 | — |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • VGK at home vs NSH: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | VGK 7 - 2 NSH | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-12-31 | VGK 2 - 4 NSH | NSH | VGK |
| 2025-04-12 | VGK 5 - 3 NSH | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-03-29 | NSH 1 - 3 VGK | VGK | NSH |
| 2025-01-14 | NSH 5 - 3 VGK | NSH | NSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:10 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 18:22 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 17:17 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 19:38 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 15:12 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 13:16 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 12:26 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 08:52 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 05:52 | VGK | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 7 - 2 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.3 - 2.9