San Jose Sharks at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2026-01-19 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 1 - 4 San Jose Sharks
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 59.8%
SJS: 40.2%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.24
SJS: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
| Stat | FLA | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.874 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.889 | 0.974 |
| GAA | 2.80 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • FLA at home vs SJS: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | FLA 1 - 4 SJS | SJS | FLA |
| 2025-11-08 | SJS 3 - 1 FLA | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-01-25 | SJS 2 - 7 FLA | FLA | SJS |
| 2024-12-07 | FLA 3 - 1 SJS | FLA | FLA |
| 2023-11-14 | SJS 3 - 5 FLA | FLA | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 06:12 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 02:41 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 00:50 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 17:21 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 00:43 | SJS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 1 - 4 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.2 - 2.9