Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2026-01-19 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 0 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CHI: 47.0%

WPG: 53.0%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.33

WPG: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Stat	CHI	WPG
Season SV%	0.909	0.907
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.63	2.51

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Spencer Knight	32	32	0	100.0%	3.19	2	3.19
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	24	22	2	91.7%	2.72	2	0.72

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • CHI at home vs WPG: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	CHI 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG
2026-03-03	WPG 3 - 2 CHI	WPG	WPG
2026-01-19	CHI 2 - 0 WPG	CHI	WPG
2025-10-30	WPG 6 - 3 CHI	WPG	WPG
2025-04-12	CHI 4 - 5 WPG	WPG	WPG

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	18	0	0.75
1	WPG	20	0	1.14
2	CHI	12	1	0.86
2	WPG	12	1	1.29
3	CHI	7	1	1.11
3	WPG	17	1	0.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown