Anaheim Ducks at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2026-01-21 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 1 - 2 Anaheim Ducks (SO)
🚨 Upset Loss (66% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 65.5%
ANA: 34.5%
Expected Goals
COL: 4.25
ANA: 2.62
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 69%
Over 6.5: 53%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
| Stat | COL | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.962 | 0.947 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • COL at home vs ANA: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | COL 1 - 2 ANA | ANA | COL |
| 2025-11-11 | COL 4 - 1 ANA | COL | COL |
| 2025-04-13 | ANA 2 - 4 COL | COL | ANA |
| 2024-12-20 | ANA 2 - 4 COL | COL | ANA |
| 2024-10-18 | COL 4 - 3 ANA | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 01:27 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 16:21 | COL | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | COL | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | COL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 65.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.9
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 1 - 2 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 4.2 - 2.6