Montreal Canadiens at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2026-01-24 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 4 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

BOS: 53.5%

MTL: 46.5%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.46

MTL: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • BOS at home vs MTL: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-17	MTL 3 - 2 BOS	MTL	MTL
2026-01-24	BOS 4 - 3 MTL	BOS	BOS
2025-12-23	BOS 2 - 6 MTL	MTL	BOS
2025-11-15	MTL 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	MTL
2025-04-03	MTL 4 - 1 BOS	MTL	MTL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	12	1	0.83
1	MTL	11	1	0.87
2	BOS	17	2	1.91
2	MTL	17	1	1.25
3	BOS	11	1	1.19
3	MTL	14	0	1.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 4 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.5 - 2.9