Montreal Canadiens at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2026-01-24 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 4 - 3 Montreal Canadiens
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 51.1%
MTL: 48.9%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.28
MTL: 2.93
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | BOS | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.876 | 0.929 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • BOS at home vs MTL: 5-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | MTL 3 - 2 BOS | MTL | MTL |
| 2026-01-24 | BOS 4 - 3 MTL | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-12-23 | BOS 2 - 6 MTL | MTL | BOS |
| 2025-11-15 | MTL 2 - 3 BOS | BOS | MTL |
| 2025-04-03 | MTL 4 - 1 BOS | MTL | MTL |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 4 - 3 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 3.3 - 2.9
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