Vegas Golden Knights at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2026-01-25 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 7 - 1 Vegas Golden Knights
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 59.5%
VGK: 40.5%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.02
VGK: 2.50
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 43%
Over 6.5: 28%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
| Stat | OTT | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.882 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.914 | 0.864 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • OTT at home vs VGK: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | OTT 7 - 1 VGK | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-11-26 | VGK 3 - 4 OTT | OTT | VGK |
| 2024-11-21 | OTT 2 - 3 VGK | VGK | OTT |
| 2024-10-25 | VGK 6 - 4 OTT | VGK | VGK |
| 2024-02-24 | OTT 4 - 3 VGK | OTT | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:25 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 17:50 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 06:07 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 05:51 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 15:05 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 03:56 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 02:05 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 01:22 | OTT | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 7 - 1 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.0 - 2.5