Pittsburgh Penguins at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2026-01-25 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 53.4%
PIT: 46.6%
Expected Goals
VAN: 2.78
PIT: 3.59
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | VAN | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.793 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.843 | 0.938 |
| GAA | 3.41 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VAN at home vs PIT: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | VAN 2 - 3 PIT | PIT | VAN |
| 2025-10-21 | PIT 5 - 1 VAN | PIT | PIT |
| 2024-11-27 | PIT 5 - 4 VAN | PIT | PIT |
| 2024-10-26 | VAN 4 - 3 PIT | VAN | VAN |
| 2024-02-27 | VAN 3 - 4 PIT | PIT | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 05:24 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 08:41 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 17:22 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 06:29 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 14:00 | PIT | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 2.8 - 3.6