New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2026-01-26 • Xfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia Flyers 0 - 4 New York Islanders
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 60.5%
NYI: 39.5%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.75
NYI: 2.06
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | PHI | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.918 | 0.930 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.936 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • PHI at home vs NYI: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-26 | PHI 0 - 4 NYI | NYI | PHI |
| 2025-11-28 | NYI 3 - 4 PHI | PHI | NYI |
| 2025-10-25 | PHI 4 - 3 NYI | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-04-12 | PHI 4 - 3 NYI | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-01-30 | PHI 0 - 3 NYI | NYI | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:29 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 12:50 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 05:41 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 13:38 | NYI | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 0 - 4 New York Islanders
Expected: 3.7 - 2.1