Los Angeles Kings at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2026-01-27 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

DET: 42.1%

LAK: 57.9%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.87

LAK: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 39%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

DET

John Gibson - 13-8-1 | 0.893 SV% | 2.97 GAA

LAK

Anton Forsberg - 6-6-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.70 GAA

Stat	DET	LAK
Season SV%	0.893	0.901
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.97	2.70

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	John Gibson	22	19	3	86.4%	3.15	1	0.15
LAK	Anton Forsberg	28	27	1	96.4%	3.61	2	2.61

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DET at home vs LAK: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-27	DET 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-10-30	LAK 3 - 4 DET	DET	LAK
2025-01-27	DET 5 - 2 LAK	DET	DET
2024-11-16	LAK 4 - 1 DET	LAK	LAK
2024-01-13	DET 5 - 3 LAK	DET	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	9	0	0.73
1	LAK	16	0	0.97
2	DET	11	0	0.67
2	LAK	14	0	0.98
3	DET	32	2	2.21
3	LAK	9	1	1.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown