Utah Hockey Club at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2026-01-27 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 3 - 4 Utah Hockey Club

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

FLA: 53.1%

UTA: 46.9%

Expected Goals

FLA: 2.90

UTA: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

UTA

Vitek Vanecek - 2-9-1 | 0.879 SV% | 2.92 GAA

Stat	FLA	UTA
Season SV%	0.888	0.879
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.80	2.92

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	20	16	4	80.0%	2.94	3	-1.06
UTA	Vitek Vanecek	30	27	3	90.0%	2.91	1	-0.09

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • FLA at home vs UTA: 1-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-27	FLA 3 - 4 UTA	UTA	FLA
2025-12-10	UTA 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	UTA
2025-03-28	FLA 2 - 1 UTA	FLA	FLA
2025-01-08	UTA 1 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	17	1	0.87
1	UTA	9	1	0.72
2	FLA	15	0	1.06
2	UTA	9	1	0.58
3	FLA	16	0	0.98
3	UTA	12	1	1.64

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown