San Jose Sharks at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2026-01-27 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 2 - 5 San Jose Sharks
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 61.1%
SJS: 38.9%
Expected Goals
VAN: 2.84
SJS: 3.46
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
| Stat | VAN | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.793 | 0.874 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.500 | 0.919 |
| GAA | 3.41 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • VAN at home vs SJS: 4-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | VAN 2 - 5 SJS | SJS | VAN |
| 2025-12-27 | VAN 3 - 6 SJS | SJS | VAN |
| 2025-11-28 | SJS 3 - 2 VAN | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-04-14 | VAN 2 - 1 SJS | VAN | VAN |
| 2025-02-06 | SJS 1 - 2 VAN | VAN | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:55 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 04:43 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 01:51 | VAN | Goal |
| 1 | 01:15 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 09:07 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 09:15 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 00:28 | SJS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 2 - 5 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 2.8 - 3.5