San Jose Sharks at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2026-01-27 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 5 San Jose Sharks

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

VAN: 50.4%

SJS: 49.6%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.15

SJS: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

SJS

Yaroslav Askarov - 15-10-1 | 0.896 SV% | 3.36 GAA

Stat	VAN	SJS
Season SV%	0.885	0.896
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.41	3.36

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	33	28	5	84.8%	3.27	2	-1.73
SJS	Yaroslav Askarov	25	23	2	92.0%	2.53	0	0.53

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • VAN at home vs SJS: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	SJS 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	SJS
2026-01-27	VAN 2 - 5 SJS	SJS	VAN
2025-12-27	VAN 3 - 6 SJS	SJS	VAN
2025-11-28	SJS 3 - 2 VAN	SJS	VAN
2025-04-14	VAN 2 - 1 SJS	VAN	VAN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	10	0	0.42
1	SJS	21	2	1.78
2	VAN	18	0	1.48
2	SJS	14	0	1.04
3	VAN	7	0	0.63
3	SJS	10	0	0.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown