Colorado Avalanche at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2026-01-28 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 5 - 2 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

OTT: 47.6%

COL: 52.4%

Expected Goals

OTT: 2.92

COL: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 5.3

Over 5.5: 45%

Over 6.5: 33%

OTT

Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA

COL

Scott Wedgewood - 31-6-6 | 0.921 SV% | 2.02 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • OTT at home vs COL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-28	OTT 5 - 2 COL	OTT	COL
2026-01-08	COL 8 - 2 OTT	COL	COL
2025-03-20	OTT 1 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2024-10-27	COL 5 - 4 OTT	COL	COL
2024-01-16	OTT 4 - 7 COL	COL	COL

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 5 - 2 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2