New York Rangers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2026-01-28 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 5 - 2 New York Rangers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NYI: 50.0%

NYR: 50.0%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.91

NYR: 3.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NYI

David Rittich - 10-5-2 | 0.909 SV% | 2.46 GAA

NYR

S. Martin

Stat	NYI	NYR
Season SV%	0.909	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.46	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	David Rittich	16	14	2	87.5%	1.80	0	-0.20
NYR	S. Martin	36	31	5	86.1%	3.31	4	-1.69

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYI at home vs NYR: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	NYR 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	NYR
2026-01-28	NYI 5 - 2 NYR	NYI	NYI
2025-12-27	NYI 2 - 0 NYR	NYI	NYI
2025-11-08	NYR 0 - 5 NYI	NYI	NYR
2025-04-10	NYI 2 - 9 NYR	NYR	NYI

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	19	1	1.23
1	NYR	11	0	0.97
2	NYI	17	3	1.50
2	NYR	9	0	0.34
3	NYI	12	0	0.58
3	NYR	8	0	0.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown