Chicago Blackhawks at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2026-01-29 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 6 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

PIT: 71.2%

CHI: 28.8%

Expected Goals

PIT: 4.49

CHI: 2.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PIT at home vs CHI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	PIT 6 - 2 CHI	PIT	PIT
2025-12-28	CHI 3 - 7 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-04-08	PIT 5 - 0 CHI	PIT	PIT
2025-04-06	CHI 3 - 1 PIT	CHI	CHI
2024-02-15	CHI 1 - 4 PIT	PIT	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	8	0	0.63
1	CHI	13	2	1.07
2	PIT	36	1	2.76
2	CHI	9	1	0.77
3	PIT	22	0	1.48
3	CHI	9	1	0.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 6 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 4.5 - 2.2