San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2026-01-29 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks (OT)

Win Probability

EDM: 64.1%

SJS: 35.9%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.55

SJS: 2.74

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • EDM at home vs SJS: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-08	SJS 2 - 5 EDM	EDM	SJS
2026-03-17	EDM 5 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2026-02-28	SJS 5 - 4 EDM	SJS	EDM
2026-01-29	EDM 4 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2025-04-16	SJS 0 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	16	0	0.64
1	SJS	8	0	0.59
2	EDM	10	0	0.44
2	SJS	14	0	0.76
3	EDM	18	2	1.91
3	SJS	6	1	0.34
4	EDM	2	0	0.17
4	SJS	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.6 - 2.7