Colorado Avalanche at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2026-01-31 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 0 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

DET: 38.8%

COL: 61.2%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.01

COL: 3.66

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DET at home vs COL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-02	COL 0 - 2 DET	DET	COL
2026-01-31	DET 0 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-03-25	COL 5 - 2 DET	COL	COL
2024-12-07	DET 1 - 2 COL	COL	COL
2024-03-06	COL 7 - 2 DET	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	15	0	0.74
1	COL	15	1	0.79
2	DET	15	0	0.78
2	COL	21	2	2.01
3	DET	13	0	1.03
3	COL	10	0	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 0 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.0 - 3.7