New Jersey Devils at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2026-01-31 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 4 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

OTT: 59.4%

NJD: 40.6%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.57

NJD: 2.72

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • OTT at home vs NJD: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	NJD 4 - 3 OTT	NJD	NJD
2026-01-31	OTT 4 - 1 NJD	OTT	OTT
2025-12-09	OTT 3 - 4 NJD	NJD	OTT
2025-03-22	NJD 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-01-19	NJD 1 - 2 OTT	OTT	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	10	0	0.55
1	NJD	12	0	0.34
2	OTT	19	2	1.38
2	NJD	11	0	0.52
3	OTT	15	1	1.37
3	NJD	13	0	0.73

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 4 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.6 - 2.7