Toronto Maple Leafs at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2026-01-31 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs (SO)
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 55.7%
TOR: 44.3%
Expected Goals
VAN: 3.18
TOR: 3.20
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | VAN | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.914 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.793 | 0.910 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.889 | 0.966 |
| GAA | 3.41 | 2.74 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VAN at home vs TOR: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | VAN 2 - 3 TOR | TOR | VAN |
| 2026-01-10 | TOR 5 - 0 VAN | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-02-08 | VAN 2 - 1 TOR | VAN | VAN |
| 2025-01-11 | TOR 0 - 3 VAN | VAN | TOR |
| 2024-01-20 | VAN 6 - 4 TOR | VAN | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 14:45 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 13:34 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 01:55 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 02:32 | VAN | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | VAN | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | VAN | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs
Expected: 3.2 - 3.2