Minnesota Wild at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2026-01-31 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 7 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 56.3%

MIN: 43.7%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.59

MIN: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • EDM at home vs MIN: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	EDM 3 - 7 MIN	MIN	EDM
2025-12-20	MIN 5 - 2 EDM	MIN	EDM
2025-12-02	EDM 0 - 1 MIN	MIN	EDM
2025-01-15	MIN 3 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-12-12	MIN 1 - 7 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	12	2	1.28
1	MIN	19	3	2.01
2	EDM	28	1	1.62
2	MIN	12	1	1.15
3	EDM	26	1	1.32
3	MIN	14	0	1.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 7 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.6 - 3.0