Los Angeles Kings at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2026-02-01 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Los Angeles Kings (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CAR: 66.1%

LAK: 33.9%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.76

LAK: 2.74

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CAR

Brandon Bussi - 13-2-1 | 0.901 SV% | 2.33 GAA

LAK

Anton Forsberg - 6-6-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.70 GAA

Stat	CAR	LAK
Season SV%	0.901	0.901
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.33	2.70

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Brandon Bussi	13	11	2	84.6%	1.82	0	-0.18
LAK	Anton Forsberg	34	31	3	91.2%	4.32	3	1.32

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CAR at home vs LAK: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-01	CAR 3 - 2 LAK	CAR	CAR
2025-10-18	LAK 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-22	LAK 7 - 2 CAR	LAK	CAR
2025-02-01	CAR 2 - 4 LAK	LAK	CAR
2024-01-15	CAR 2 - 5 LAK	LAK	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	9	0	0.59
1	LAK	11	0	0.70
2	CAR	20	3	1.93
2	LAK	6	0	0.61
3	CAR	19	0	1.42
3	LAK	8	0	0.51
4	CAR	3	0	0.38
4	LAK	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.8 - 2.7