Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2026-02-01 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

ANA: 59.8%

VGK: 40.2%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.17

VGK: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • ANA at home vs VGK: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-14	ANA 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-12	VGK 3 - 2 ANA	VGK	VGK
2026-05-10	ANA 4 - 3 VGK	ANA	ANA
2026-05-08	ANA 2 - 6 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-06	VGK 1 - 3 ANA	ANA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	16	1	1.03
1	VGK	9	0	0.42
2	ANA	9	0	0.46
2	VGK	13	0	0.71
3	ANA	14	1	0.91
3	VGK	23	2	1.68

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1