Buffalo Sabres at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2026-02-02 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 3 - 5 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

FLA: 43.3%

BUF: 56.7%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.15

BUF: 3.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • FLA at home vs BUF: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-27	FLA 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-02-02	FLA 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-01-12	BUF 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-10-18	BUF 3 - 0 FLA	BUF	FLA
2025-04-12	FLA 3 - 2 BUF	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	14	2	1.32
1	BUF	13	1	0.65
2	FLA	26	1	1.81
2	BUF	13	1	1.19
3	FLA	19	0	1.21
3	BUF	10	1	1.47

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 3 - 5 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.2 - 3.9