Ottawa Senators at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2026-02-02 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

PIT: 48.9%

OTT: 51.1%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.36

OTT: 3.33

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • PIT at home vs OTT: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	OTT 3 - 4 PIT	PIT	OTT
2026-02-02	PIT 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-12-18	OTT 4 - 0 PIT	OTT	OTT
2025-03-30	PIT 1 - 0 OTT	PIT	PIT
2025-01-11	PIT 0 - 5 OTT	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	13	0	1.20
1	OTT	20	2	1.46
2	PIT	6	0	0.31
2	OTT	15	1	1.29
3	PIT	7	1	1.17
3	OTT	14	3	2.75

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.4 - 3.3