Ottawa Senators at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2026-02-02 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 51.1%
OTT: 48.9%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.01
OTT: 3.25
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | PIT | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.886 | 0.921 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.900 | 0.938 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PIT at home vs OTT: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | OTT 3 - 4 PIT | PIT | OTT |
| 2026-02-02 | PIT 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | PIT |
| 2025-12-18 | OTT 4 - 0 PIT | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-03-30 | PIT 1 - 0 OTT | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-01-11 | PIT 0 - 5 OTT | OTT | OTT |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 3.0 - 3.2
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