New York Islanders at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2026-02-02 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 4 - 1 New York Islanders

Win Probability

WSH: 58.2%

NYI: 41.8%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.47

NYI: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • WSH at home vs NYI: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-02	WSH 4 - 1 NYI	WSH	WSH
2025-11-30	NYI 1 - 4 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-10-31	WSH 1 - 3 NYI	NYI	WSH
2025-10-11	NYI 2 - 4 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-04-15	NYI 1 - 3 WSH	WSH	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	8	1	0.74
1	NYI	20	0	1.08
2	WSH	12	0	0.50
2	NYI	13	0	0.77
3	WSH	15	2	1.94
3	NYI	17	0	1.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 4 - 1 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0