San Jose Sharks at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2026-02-02 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 6 - 3 San Jose Sharks

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CHI: 47.2%

SJS: 52.8%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.05

SJS: 3.47

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

SJS

Yaroslav Askarov - 15-10-1 | 0.896 SV% | 3.36 GAA

Stat	CHI	SJS
Season SV%	0.909	0.896
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.63	3.36

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Spencer Knight	27	24	3	88.9%	3.02	1	0.02
SJS	Yaroslav Askarov	17	11	6	64.7%	2.46	2	-3.54

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CHI at home vs SJS: 6-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	CHI 5 - 2 SJS	CHI	SJS
2026-04-06	SJS 3 - 2 CHI	SJS	SJS
2026-02-02	CHI 6 - 3 SJS	CHI	SJS
2025-03-13	SJS 4 - 2 CHI	SJS	SJS
2024-10-31	SJS 3 - 2 CHI	SJS	CHI

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	9	0	0.63
1	SJS	4	0	0.27
2	CHI	12	1	0.90
2	SJS	16	0	1.27
3	CHI	8	1	0.92
3	SJS	23	1	1.48

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown