Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2026-02-02 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 4 - 3 Winnipeg Jets (OT)

Win Probability

DAL: 53.8%

WPG: 46.2%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.55

WPG: 2.84

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • DAL at home vs WPG: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	DAL 3 - 0 WPG	DAL	DAL
2026-02-02	DAL 4 - 3 WPG	DAL	DAL
2025-12-09	WPG 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-09	WPG 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	WPG
2025-05-17	DAL 2 - 1 WPG	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	15	2	1.41
1	WPG	11	0	0.54
2	DAL	17	2	1.69
2	WPG	12	2	1.14
3	DAL	16	2	1.64
3	WPG	12	1	0.66
4	DAL	2	0	0.22
4	WPG	1	0	0.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 4 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.5 - 2.8