Detroit Red Wings at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2026-02-02 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 0 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

🚨 Upset Loss (75% underdog)

Win Probability

COL: 74.8%

DET: 25.2%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.43

DET: 2.45

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • COL at home vs DET: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-02	COL 0 - 2 DET	DET	COL
2026-01-31	DET 0 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-03-25	COL 5 - 2 DET	COL	COL
2024-12-07	DET 1 - 2 COL	COL	COL
2024-03-06	COL 7 - 2 DET	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	10	1	0.92
1	DET	16	1	1.10
2	COL	12	0	0.65
2	DET	20	0	0.90
3	COL	15	0	0.69
3	DET	6	1	1.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 74.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 0 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.4 - 2.5