Detroit Red Wings at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2026-02-02 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 0 - 2 Detroit Red Wings
🚨 Upset Loss (65% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 64.9%
DET: 35.1%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.22
DET: 2.11
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 44%
Over 6.5: 30%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | COL | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.895 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • COL at home vs DET: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | COL 0 - 2 DET | DET | COL |
| 2026-01-31 | DET 0 - 5 COL | COL | DET |
| 2025-03-25 | COL 5 - 2 DET | COL | COL |
| 2024-12-07 | DET 1 - 2 COL | COL | DET |
| 2024-03-06 | COL 7 - 2 DET | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:33 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 19:29 | DET | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 64.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 2.0
Expected: 5.3
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 0 - 2 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.2 - 2.1