Vancouver Canucks at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2026-02-02 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 6 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

UTA: 72.5%

VAN: 27.5%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.70

VAN: 2.50

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 39%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

Stat	UTA	VAN
Season SV%	0.895	0.885
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.68	3.41

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	24	22	2	91.7%	2.48	1	0.48
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	19	13	6	68.4%	2.75	1	-3.25

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • UTA at home vs VAN: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	VAN 4 - 7 UTA	UTA	UTA
2026-02-02	UTA 6 - 2 VAN	UTA	UTA
2025-12-05	VAN 1 - 4 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-03-16	VAN 1 - 3 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-02-23	UTA 2 - 1 VAN	UTA	UTA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	16	0	1.20
1	VAN	10	1	0.56
2	UTA	9	1	1.00
2	VAN	10	0	0.97
3	UTA	9	0	0.55
3	VAN	15	0	0.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown